Guidelines for Safe Quantum Technology Development

NIST – Migration to Post-Quantum Cryptography Quantum Readiness outlines a comprehensive framework for transitioning cryptographic systems to post-quantum cryptography (PQC) in response to the emerging threat of quantum computers. Quantum technology is advancing rapidly and poses a significant risk to current public-key cryptographic methods like RSA, ECC, and DSA. This guide aims to assist organizations in preparing for and implementing PQC to safeguard sensitive data and critical systems. Key Points  The Quantum Threat Quantum computers are expected to disrupt cryptography by efficiently solving mathematical problems that underpin widely used encryption and key exchange methods. This would render current public-key systems ineffective in protecting sensitive data, emphasizing the need for cryptographic agility.  NIST PQC Standards NIST is spearheading efforts to standardize quantum-resistant algorithms through an open competition and evaluation process. These algorithms, designed to withstand quantum attacks, focus on two primary areas: 1. Key Establishment: Protecting methods like Diffie-Hellman and RSA key exchange. 2. Digital Signatures: Securing authentication processes.  Migration Framework The document provides a phased approach to migrating cryptographic systems to PQC: 1. Assessment Phase:    - Inventory cryptographic dependencies in current systems.    - Evaluate systems at risk from quantum threats based on sensitivity and lifespan. 2. Preparation Phase:    - Conduct pilot testing of candidate PQC algorithms in existing infrastructure.    - Develop a hybrid approach that combines classical and post-quantum algorithms to ensure interoperability during transition. 3. Implementation Phase:    - Replace vulnerable cryptographic methods with PQC in a phased manner.    - Ensure scalability, performance, and compatibility with existing systems. 4. Monitoring and Updates:    - Continuously monitor the effectiveness of implemented solutions.  Challenges in PQC Migration - Performance Impact: PQC algorithms often have larger key sizes, increased latency, and greater computational demands compared to classical algorithms. - Interoperability: Ensuring smooth integration with legacy systems poses significant technical challenges.  Best Practices - Use hybrid encryption to maintain compatibility while testing PQC algorithms. - Engage in collaboration with vendors, industry groups, and government initiatives to align with best practices and standards. Conclusion The transition to post-quantum cryptography is a proactive measure to secure data and communications against future threats. NIST emphasizes the importance of starting preparations immediately to mitigate risks and ensure a smooth, efficient migration process. Organizations should focus on inventorying dependencies, piloting PQC solutions, and developing cryptographic agility to adapt to this transformative technological shift.

Deloitte’s Global Quantum Cyber Readiness News & Insights hub consolidates thought #leadership, frameworks, and practical guidance to help organizations prepare for the disruptive #cybersecurity implications of quantum computing. At its core, the content emphasizes that while #quantum technologies unlock transformative capabilities, they also pose a systemic threat to current cryptographic systems, making proactive preparation imperative. A central theme is “quantum #risk”—the likelihood that future quantum computers could break widely used encryption, exposing sensitive #data. Deloitte highlights that this risk is not theoretical; adversaries may already be harvesting encrypted data today for future decryption (“harvest now, decrypt later”). The hub outlines a structured approach to readiness. Organizations are encouraged to begin with cryptographic discovery and inventory, identifying where #encryption is used and assessing vulnerabilities. This is followed by developing a migration roadmap toward post-quantum cryptography (PQC) and embedding crypto-agility, enabling systems to adapt quickly as standards evolve. Deloitte also stresses the importance of #governance and enterprise-wide #transformation. Quantum readiness is not solely a technical issue; it requires leadership awareness, cross-functional coordination, regulatory alignment, and continuous monitoring of emerging standards (e.g., National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) A key contribution is the Quantum Readiness Toolkit, developed with the World Economic Forum, which provides guiding principles and actionable steps. These include integrating quantum risk into enterprise risk management, educating stakeholders, prioritizing investments, and collaborating across ecosystems to address systemic vulnerabilities. Deloitte frames quantum cyber readiness as a strategic imperative. Early adopters can enhance #trust, #resilience, and market positioning, while delayed action increases exposure to significant operational, financial, and reputational risks in the emerging quantum era.

Quantum computing is advancing rapidly, bringing unprecedented processing power that threatens traditional encryption methods. The "collect now, decrypt later" strategy underscores the urgency of preparation, adversaries are already harvesting encrypted data with the intent to decrypt it once large-scale quantum computers become viable. Fortinet is leading the way in quantum-safe security, integrating NIST PQC algorithms, including CRYSTALS-KYBER, into FortiOS to safeguard data from future quantum-based attacks. "A recent real-world demonstration by JPMorgan Chase (JPMC) showcased quantum-safe high-speed 100 Gbps site-to-site IPsec tunnels secured using QKD. The test was conducted between two JPMC data centers in Singapore, covering over 46 km of telecom fiber, and achieved 45 days of continuous operation." "The network leveraged QKD vendor ID Quantique for the quantum key exchange, Fortinet’s FortiGate 4201F for network encryption, and FortiTester for performance measurement." This is not just a theoretical concern, organizations are already deploying quantum-safe encryption solutions. As quantum computing capabilities advance, organizations must adopt quantum-resistant security architectures and take proactive steps now to safeguard their sensitive information against future quantum-enabled attacks. These proactive methods include: -adopting hybrid cryptographic approaches, combining classical and PQC algorithms, ensuring interoperability and a phased transition -implementing crypto-agile architectures, for seamless updates to encryption mechanisms as new quantum-resistant standards emerge -leveraging PQC capable HSMs and TPMs -evaluating network security architectures, such as ZTNA models -ensuring authentication and access controls are resistant to quantum threats. -identifying mission-critical and long-lived data, that must remain secure for decades. -implementing sensitivity-based classification, determine which datasets require the highest level of post-quantum protection. -conducting risk assessments to evaluate data exposure, storage locations, and current encryption standards. -transitioning to quantum-resistant encryption algorithms recommended by NIST’s PQC standardization efforts. -establishing data-at-rest and data-in-transit encryption policies, mandate use of PQC algorithms as they become available. -strengthening key management practices -developing GRC frameworks ensuring adherence to post-quantum security. -implementing continuous cryptographic monitoring to detect and phase out vulnerable encryption methods. -enforcing regulatory compliance by aligning with emerging PQC standards. -establishing incident response plans to handle quantum-driven cryptographic threats proactively. Fortinet remains committed to pioneering quantum-safe encryption solutions, enabling organizations to stay ahead of emerging cryptographic threats. Read more from Dr. Carl Windsor, Fortinet’s CISO!

✏️CEPS (Centre for European Policy Studies) has just published the report "Strengthening the EU transition to a quantum-safe world" This 125-page publication offers a comprehensive and very timely analysis of the global transition toward quantum-safety, highlighting key recommendations and identifying the hurdles that we, as a community, still need to overcome. Accross its 10 general recommendations and 16 additional sector-specific ones, two key aspects take a prominent role: 👉 Operational challenges of the transition, like establishing business-level priorities, building executive support, addressing the limited cryptographic talent issue, cryptographic homogeneization in products, and building cryptographic inventories based on priorities. 👉 Coordination and the role for regulators, identifying that the EU lacks a coherent, unified transition framework, the need to ensure alignment and coherence across roadmaps and the risks of a fragmented transition. Key conclusions on the later, aligned with previous statements from the Europol Quantum Safe Financial Forum and FS-ISAC, is that quantum-safety is already part of the EU's operational resilience compliance through the “state of the art” security principle embedded in GDPR, DORA, CRA and NIS2. However, there is a recognised need for further guidance that can be achieved through open collaboration between the public and private sector. Although the report focuses on the financial, public, and defence sectors, its main takeaways can easily be extended to other critical domains—transport, energy, healthcare, and many more. The principles are the same, and the urgency is the same. This report is an important step forward, and my hope is that the ideas it lays out help shape the conversations and, more importantly, the actions we need across the EU. A well-aligned and coordinated transition is essential if we want the whole ecosystem to move toward a new age where we manage cryptography in a more mature, proactive, and resilient way. Kudos to CEPS, lorenzo pupillo, Carolina Polito, Swann A. and Afonso Ferreira, PhD for achieving this milestone. https://lnkd.in/dpWJ86q2

Quantum computing is moving from "science fiction" to "business reality" faster than most predicted. Two recent papers have fundamentally shifted the timeline for when we need to care about Quantum-Safe security: 1️⃣ The "10,000 Qubits" Milestone: New research shows that we can execute Shor’s algorithm—the math that breaks today’s encryption—with far fewer resources than previously thought. By using reconfigurable atomic qubits, the hardware requirements for cracking RSA-2048 have dropped by nearly 20x. 2️⃣ The "9-Minute" Crypto Warning: Google’s latest whitepaper highlights a terrifying reality for digital assets. Under advanced quantum scenarios, the encryption protecting a cryptocurrency wallet could be cracked in under 10 minutes. This puts billions in "dormant" assets at immediate risk of "at-rest" attacks. The Bottom Line: The "Q-Day" window is shrinking. It’s no longer about if a quantum computer can break your encryption, but when your current migration timeline will run out. How do we respond? We can't just flip a switch on "Q-Day." For many organizations, becoming quantum safe is a multi-year journey. This is where Palo Alto Networks Quantum-Safe Security comes in. Instead of a manual, multi-year overhaul, we provide a path to Agentic Resilience: - Continuous Discovery: It automatically maps your "cryptographic bill of materials" (CBOM), identifying exactly where vulnerable RSA and ECC algorithms are hiding in your network. - Risk Prioritization: It correlates your encryption strength with business criticality, telling you exactly which high-value assets need to move to Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) first. - Real-Time Remediation: For legacy systems that can’t be easily upgraded, a "Quantum-Safe Proxy" re-encrypts vulnerable traffic into post-quantum algorithms (like ML-KEM) at the network edge. The transition to a quantum-safe future is a marathon, but the starting gun has already fired. Learn how to take your first steps at the link in the comments.

🔐Europol PRIORITISING POST-QUANTUM CRYPTOGRAPHY MIGRATION ACTIVITIES IN FINANCIAL SERVICES ⚛️As post-quantum cryptography (PQC) becomes integrated into mainstream information technology (IT) products and services, financial services institutions must begin to execute their transition strategies. This document provides actionable guidelines to incorporate quantum safety into existing risk management frameworks by assessing the ‘Migration Priority’ based on the ‘Quantum Risk’ and ‘Migration Time’ of business use cases and highlighting opportunities for immediate execution. ⚛️A critical first step is to inventory all business use cases that rely on public key cryptography. This inventory enables the creation of a prioritised transition roadmap by assessing the Quantum Risk of each use case based on three parameters: 🟣 Shelf Life of Protected Data: How long the data remains sensitive. 🟣 Exposure: The extent to which data is accessible to potential attackers. 🟣 Severity: The business impact of a potential compromise. ⚛️When the Quantum Risk is assessed, organisations can prioritise actions based on each use case’s Migration Time, i.e., the complexity and timeline required to achieve Quantum Safety for a use case. As part of this activity, organisations will identify, for instance, actions that can be launched immediately and the use cases that require coordination with long-term asset lifecycles. 🟣 Solution Availability: Maturity of PQC standards, and their general availability in products and services. 🟣Execution Cost: The effort, cost, and complexity of implementing the quantum-safe solutions within the organisation. 🟣 External Dependencies: Execution complexity due to coordination required with third parties and their transition roadmaps (standardisation bodies, vendors, peers, regulators, and customers). ⚛️Examples of use cases that financial organisations can begin implementing today include: 🟣 Integration of post-quantum requirements into the long-term roadmap for hardware-intensive use cases aligned with financial asset lifecycles. 🟣 Enhancement of confidentiality protection for transactional websites. 🟣Identification and elimination of cryptographic antipatterns to reduce future technical debt. ⚛️These are examples of how financial institutions can take timely, structured steps toward an efficient and forward-looking transition to post-quantum cryptography. https://lnkd.in/d4qiS6X9

A recent comprehensive study, issued by Federal Office for Information Security (BSI) on the Status of #Quantum #Computer #Development provides a sober, evidence-based assessment of progress, risks, and timelines, particularly relevant for #cryptography, #cybersecurity, and strategic planning, with a focus on applications in #cryptanalysis. Key takeaways: • Quantum advantage is real, but still narrow Quantum computers have demonstrated advantage only on highly specialized benchmark problems. Broad, application-relevant superiority remains out of reach. • Cryptography is the primary strategic risk driver Shor’s algorithm continues to pose a credible long-term threat to RSA and elliptic-curve cryptography, while symmetric cryptography (e.g. AES) remains comparatively resilient with appropriate key lengths. • Fault tolerance is the true bottleneck Error rates not qubit counts are the dominant constraint. Scalable, fault-tolerant quantum computing requires massive overheads in error correction and infrastructure. • Leading hardware platforms are converging Superconducting qubits, trapped ions, and neutral atoms (Rydberg) currently lead the field, with rapid progress but no clear single winner. • #NISQ systems are not a near-term cryptographic threat Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) devices lack the depth and reliability needed for meaningful cryptanalysis, despite frequent hype. • A realistic timeline is emerging Based on verified advances in error correction, a cryptographically relevant quantum computer may be achievable in ~10–15 years—not decades, but not imminent either. • “Harvest now, decrypt later” remains a credible risk Sensitive data encrypted today may be vulnerable in the future, reinforcing the urgency of post-quantum cryptography migration. • Security preparedness must start now Transition planning, crypto-agility, standards development, and quantum-readiness assessments are no longer optional for governments and critical sectors. 👉 Bottom line: quantum computing is progressing steadily, not explosively, but its long-term implications for cybersecurity and digital trust demand early, structured, and risk-based action today. https://lnkd.in/eMui-D_W

*** The Quantum Threat (Part 2) *** Mitigating Quantum Risks A plausible roadmap is taking shape to counteract these vulnerabilities. The primary long-term strategy is to integrate post-quantum cryptography into the network – using new algorithms that are resistant to quantum attacks. The U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) has a short list of PQC protocols that include CRYSTALS-Dilithium, SPHINCS+, and FALCON. Note too that we have established the Coinbase Independent Advisory Board on Quantum Computing and Blockchain, a group of world-renowned experts convened to evaluate the implications of quantum computing for the blockchain ecosystem and provide clear, independent guidance to the broader community. Guidance from Chaincode Labs – a bitcoin research and development center – sketches two multi-year processes to mitigate the risk. First, if quantum computing experiences a sudden breakthrough, a short-term contingency path could be implemented within two years that quickly deploys protective measures to secure the network by prioritizing migration transactions exclusively. On the other hand, if quantum breakthroughs do not occur, a longer-term path could be used to standardize quantum-resistant signatures via a soft fork, though post‑quantum signatures are larger and slower to verify than today’s signatures, so wallets, nodes, and fee economics need time to adapt. This could take up to seven years to fully implement. Fortunately, the most advanced quantum machines today have fewer than 1,000 qubits, far short of what would be needed to compromise the cryptography that secures blockchains like Bitcoin. Promising technical proposals to address the quantum threat include: 🔹 BIP-360 (Pay-to-Quantum-Resistant-Hash) to keep public keys off-chain and pave the way for post quantum signatures 🔹 BIP-347 (re-enabling OP_CAT to support hash-based one-time signatures) 🔹 Hourglass (rate-limiting spends from vulnerable outputs to stabilize the transition) Best practices include avoiding address reuse, moving vulnerable UTXOs to unique destinations, and developing client-facing materials to institutionalize quantum-ready operations. This approach is supported by the current understanding that vulnerable scripts are not in production and that per-address fund limits mitigate concentration risk. Overall, we do not view quantum computing as an imminent threat because today’s machines are orders of magnitude too small to break Bitcoin’s cryptography. That said, we are glad that the open-source community remains vigilant about engineering post-quantum migration paths.

IS YOUR ENTERPRISE READY FOR "Q-DAY"? "Q-day" (or Quantum Day) is the point in time when quantum computers become powerful enough to break the public-key encryption (like RSA or ECC) that currently secures global digital, financial, and government infrastructure. Our current best estimates is that Q-Day will happen by 2029! Huge thanks to Dr. Rob Campbell, FBBA. , IBM Global Quantum-Safe Executive and IBM Quantum Ambassador, for guest lecturing to our University of Arkansas ­- Sam M. Walton College of Business EMBA students. His insights into the "Quantum-Safe" transition provided a crucial roadmap for how leadership must navigate the next few years of cybersecurity. Here's what we learned: Adversaries are currently collecting encrypted data to store and decrypt once quantum computers are powerful enough to calculate private keys—a strategy known as "Harvest now, decrypt Later". Because enterprise cryptographic migrations can take 5 to 15+ years, many large organizations will still be in transition when quantum computers become capable of breaking current encryption. What enterprises can do NOW: Dr. Campbell emphasized that Post-Quantum Cryptography (PQC) is a leadership issue, not just a technical one. To preserve trust and resilience, leaders should authorize these "low-regret" actions immediately: - Inventory cryptographic dependencies: identify what you have before you plan what to change. - Prioritize high-value data: Focus on data with the longest confidentiality horizons, not just the most "critical" systems. - Invest in crypto-agility: Design systems for the permanent ability to swap algorithms without rebuilding the entire architecture. - Pilot PQC today in non-mission critical systems: PQC standards were finalized by NIST in 2024 and are ready for deployment on classical computers now. Enterprises can learn in these lower risk systems. - Communicate metrics to boards in non-technical jargon. Dr. Campbell noted, the question is whether we manage this change deliberately now or inherit it under pressure later. He stressed the importance of wide-spread education. To that end, Professor Daniel Conway will be offering the Walton College's first Quantum Computing class this fall! Adam Stoverink, Ph.D.; Shaila Miranda; Brian Fugate; Brent D. Williams; James Allen Regenor, Col USAF(ret) #QuantumSafe #PQC #CyberSecurity #Leadership #EMBA #DigitalTransformation #RiskManagement

Reading A Practitioner’s Guide to Post-Quantum Cryptography from the Cloud Security Alliance made me pause. It highlights something many organizations still underestimate very often: modern cryptography was not designed for a future with cryptographically relevant quantum computers (CRQCs). This threat is also not theoretical. The risk comes from Store Now, Decrypt Later attacks, where encrypted data can be harvested today and broken once quantum capabilities mature. Time, not just technology, becomes the critical risk factor. Key highlights from the guide • Shor’s and Grover’s quantum algorithms threaten most public-key cryptography in use today, including RSA, Diffie-Hellman, and elliptic-curve algorithms • CRQCs may emerge by the early 2030s, putting long-term-value data at risk even if systems are secure today • Data confidentiality and integrity are both impacted by Store Now, Decrypt Later attacks • NIST published post-quantum cryptography standards in 2024 (FIPS-203, FIPS-204, FIPS-205), but enterprise adoption will take time and investment • Risk assessment must begin by identifying which data assets still hold value at “Q-Day,” not by blanket cryptographic replacement Who should take note • Security leaders responsible for long-term data protection strategies • Architects managing encryption for data at rest, data in transit, and non-repudiation • Compliance and governance teams evaluating regulatory and sector-specific quantum readiness requirements • Engineering teams responsible for cryptographic libraries, TLS, VPNs, KMS, and certificate management Why this matters Unlike most cyber threats, quantum risk is driven by time. Data intercepted today may be compromised years later. If enterprises wait until CRQCs arrive, it will already be too late for data with long-term value. At the same time, mitigation is costly, complex, and not yet fully supported by mainstream products. The path forward The guide emphasizes starting with disciplined risk assessment, identifying vulnerable cryptographic functions, and mapping technology components before committing to mitigation. Enterprises should periodically reassess risk, track technology maturity, and align mitigation efforts with CSA Cloud Controls Matrix guidance rather than rushing into premature or unnecessary changes.