Reshma Mani’s Post

Most forecasting models FAIL in industrial environments. Why? Because: • Data is irregular • Transactions are high-value • Patterns are non-linear So I built a hybrid forecasting system Approach: → SARIMA for trend & seasonality → XGBoost & LightGBM for residual learning → Feature engineering (lags, rolling stats, macro signals) → Implemented entirely in Python Results: Baseline SARIMA → 10.9% error Hybrid model → 4.2% error That’s a ~60% improvement in accuracy. Key Insight: Combining statistical models with machine learning delivers far better results than using either alone — especially in real-world business data. Tech Stack: Python, Pandas, SARIMA, XGBoost, LightGBM This project helped me understand how theory translates into real business impact. #MachineLearning #DataScience #Python #AI #TimeSeries #Forecasting

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