AI Pricing Shifts: Token Efficiency and Cost Implications

Couple "Cost of AI" thoughts I'm working through: 1) I think we're going to see more and more of the "massively subsidized token" plans/setups come to an end as some of biggest AI labs move towards IPOs and profitability. You can already see this happening as session limits are curbed, enterprise pricing for the likes of Claude being API-based and _not_ subscription based. No more cheap uber rides for us! 2) I'm also seeing things like Capybara/Mythos step-change models circulate, and sounds like the cost to run is going to keep going up for providers (good if you're Nvidia). TurboQuant might help mitigate capacity to some extent. Given all that... I think a few things become important/ happen: 1) token efficiency becomes more and more important. I'm using things like RTK, Serena, and Claude Mem to offset this today. The tooling getting this right will become even more important going forward. 2) the Chinese-variant open(ish) models will be more and more appealing, even with tradeoffs. Companies will have to ask themselves "Do I want to drop $100k on Mythos 12 or 1/12 of that on Opus-knockoff-8". 3) if there _is_ continued downward token cost pressure, efforts to lock you in (Claude Code Review, terms for subscription plans, other features) will increase in frequency and impact https://lnkd.in/ez3b9aXr https://lnkd.in/eMvc4cwy https://lnkd.in/e-xiZgQe

Perhaps one of the outcomes of this will be an orchestration layer that has built-in model fluidity. Use the Opus-knockoff-8 for the simple tasks, leverage Mythos 12 for the complex tasks. My brain hurts.

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