“Carter was my direct manager at Qualtrics for over a year. In that time Carter helped me become more confident, both as a person and as an analyst. For example, when I experienced imposter syndrome, Carter encouraged me to develop an R package as a passion project. Having him there to support me through that process gave me the confidence I needed to excel in my role and feel confident about my abilities. I think that's what makes Carter unique. Aside from being very technically skilled, Carter can just connect with people. I never had a manger that understood me as well as Carter, and I would've liked to work with him for many more years. I wholeheartedly recommend Carter as a leader, as a Data Scientist, and as a manager (who legitimately cares).”
About
After 25 years of applying quantitative models to real world problems, I get as excited…
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DC based friends, I have a book talk on May 12 and will be in conversation with my friend Erin Pinder, who is the incredible Executive Director of…
DC based friends, I have a book talk on May 12 and will be in conversation with my friend Erin Pinder, who is the incredible Executive Director of…
Liked by Carter Rees, PhD
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The risk in AI search isn't just being invisible — it's being misrepresented. When your content is thin or ambiguous, AI engines don't go silent…
The risk in AI search isn't just being invisible — it's being misrepresented. When your content is thin or ambiguous, AI engines don't go silent…
Liked by Carter Rees, PhD
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AI search is changing how brands are discovered, and the risk is no longer just invisibility. It's worse. In his latest Forbes Technology Council…
AI search is changing how brands are discovered, and the risk is no longer just invisibility. It's worse. In his latest Forbes Technology Council…
Liked by Carter Rees, PhD
Experience
Education
Publications
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Contextual Determinants of Adolescent Perceived Early Fatality
Journal of Youth and Adolesence
Adolescents overestimate their risk for early or premature death. In turn, perceived early fatality is associated with a host of adverse developmental outcomes. Research on the correlates of perceived early fatality is nascent, and an examination of the contextual determinants of perceived early fatality is largely absent from the literature. Using data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health), this study examines whether the school climate and friendship…
Adolescents overestimate their risk for early or premature death. In turn, perceived early fatality is associated with a host of adverse developmental outcomes. Research on the correlates of perceived early fatality is nascent, and an examination of the contextual determinants of perceived early fatality is largely absent from the literature. Using data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health), this study examines whether the school climate and friendship networks impact youth perceptions of premature death. Analysis using hierarchical linear models on 9,617 youth (52.0% female) within 113 middle and high schools across the U.S. assess the extent to which school and peer future orientation climate and friendship network characteristics (network size, density, popularity, and centrality) impact respondent life expectancy. Consistent with hypotheses: (1) higher levels of life expectancy in respondents’ schools and friendship networks are associated with more optimistic expectations about the future among sample respondents; and (2) youth embedded in larger and denser friendship networks report higher levels of life expectancy. The results are consistent with research on the contextual effects of the school environment, the literature on peer effects, and studies documenting the insulating effects of extensive and closely knit peer networks. More generally, the results suggest that the school climate and adolescent friendship networks are key contexts in which youth develop expectations for the future.
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The first delinquent peers are the most important: Examining nonlinearity in the peer effect
Justice Quarterly
Criminologists have long recognized the importance of peers in the etiology of delinquency. Yet, the bulk of empirical studies on this topic make the implicit assumption that the peer effect to be conditioned is linear. With few notable exceptions, prior criminological research has not thought deeply about possible nonlinearity in the peer effect. To address this issue, the present study examines whether the functional form of the relationship between peer and respondent smoking, getting drunk,…
Criminologists have long recognized the importance of peers in the etiology of delinquency. Yet, the bulk of empirical studies on this topic make the implicit assumption that the peer effect to be conditioned is linear. With few notable exceptions, prior criminological research has not thought deeply about possible nonlinearity in the peer effect. To address this issue, the present study examines whether the functional form of the relationship between peer and respondent smoking, getting drunk, and fighting is nonlinear, and whether this nonlinearity is moderated by lagged respondent delinquency. Logistic regression models on adolescents from The National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health indicate that the marginal effect of peer delinquency on respondent delinquency decreases as the count of delinquent friends increases, consistent with a satiation effect. Moreover, the models indicate that the nonlinear effect of peer delinquency on respondent delinquency is moderated by prior respondent delinquency.
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The power of (mis) perception: rethinking suicide contagion in youth friendship networks
Social Science & Medicine
Suicide is a leading cause of death among youth. In the wake of peer suicide, youth are vulnerable to suicide contagion. But, questions remain about the mechanisms through which suicide spreads and the accuracy of youths' estimates of friends' suicidal behaviors. This study addresses these questions within school-aged youths' friendship networks. Social network data were drawn from two schools in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health, from which 2180 youth in grades 7–12…
Suicide is a leading cause of death among youth. In the wake of peer suicide, youth are vulnerable to suicide contagion. But, questions remain about the mechanisms through which suicide spreads and the accuracy of youths' estimates of friends' suicidal behaviors. This study addresses these questions within school-aged youths' friendship networks. Social network data were drawn from two schools in the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent to Adult Health, from which 2180 youth in grades 7–12 nominated up to ten friends.
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Social Learning, Social Networks, and Offender Decision Making: Matching Theory as a Unifying Framework for Recasting a General Theory.
Oxford University press
Social learning theory (Akers 1973, 1985; Burgess and Akers 1966a,b; see too Akers 1998) is one of criminology's leading theories. Recent advancements in statistical modeling of human relationships and sophisticated social network data have the potential to aid and expand our understanding of the role of human groups and social structure in the etiology of crime and delinquency. However, criminologists rarely consider social learning theory in the discussion of human agency decision-making, or…
Social learning theory (Akers 1973, 1985; Burgess and Akers 1966a,b; see too Akers 1998) is one of criminology's leading theories. Recent advancements in statistical modeling of human relationships and sophisticated social network data have the potential to aid and expand our understanding of the role of human groups and social structure in the etiology of crime and delinquency. However, criminologists rarely consider social learning theory in the discussion of human agency decision-making, or in how these important aspects of the human experience relate to criminal outcomes. In this chapter, we provide an overview of the role of choice and human agency within the theoretical framework of social learning and their integrative importance for our understanding of delinquency and crime. We place particular emphasis on research stemming from Herrnstein’s (1966) matching-law, choice allocation, and statistical models of social learning as applied to social networks. Our intent is to provide the reader with a greater understanding of the historical theoretical principles upon which Akers built social learning theory and how these principles continue to be the focus of an active research agenda outside of the field of crime and delinquency. We provide readers with a unifying discussion of choice based theory's of behavior, elaboration on existing statistical models used to test these choice-based and social learning theories, and suggest topics for an innovative research agenda grounded in the relevant literature. Our final goal for this chapter is the articulation of a research agenda that will help researchers further promote empirical and theoretical advancements in the social learning tradition of criminology.
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Behavioral heterogeneity in adolescent friendship networks
Justice Quarterly
Criminologists' understanding of peer influences has been greatly advanced by social network methods; however, relatively scant attention has been paid to improving measurement. In particular, research has continued to measure peer influence by averaging the level of delinquency within a peer network, thereby neglecting the role of behavioral heterogeneity. The present study seeks to advance theory and research into peer influences on delinquency by explicitly modeling behavioral heterogeneity…
Criminologists' understanding of peer influences has been greatly advanced by social network methods; however, relatively scant attention has been paid to improving measurement. In particular, research has continued to measure peer influence by averaging the level of delinquency within a peer network, thereby neglecting the role of behavioral heterogeneity. The present study seeks to advance theory and research into peer influences on delinquency by explicitly modeling behavioral heterogeneity in peer networks.
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The myth of conformity: Adolescents and abstention from unhealthy drinking behaviors.
Social Science & Medicine
Adolescent peer groups with pro-drinking group norms are a well-established source of influence for alcohol initiation and use. However, classic experimental studies of social influence, namely 'minority influence', clearly indicate social situations in which an individual can resist conforming to the group norm. Using the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health ("add health"), a nationally representative sample of adolescents, we find evidence that being a non-drinking adolescent does…
Adolescent peer groups with pro-drinking group norms are a well-established source of influence for alcohol initiation and use. However, classic experimental studies of social influence, namely 'minority influence', clearly indicate social situations in which an individual can resist conforming to the group norm. Using the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health ("add health"), a nationally representative sample of adolescents, we find evidence that being a non-drinking adolescent does not unilaterally put youth at risk for drinking onset when faced with a friendship network where the majority of friends drink. Our results also show that a non-drinking adolescent with a majority of drinking friends is significantly less likely to initiate alcohol abuse if he or she has a minority of non-drinking friend(s). Furthermore, a drinking adolescent with a majority of friends who drink has a decreased probability of continuing to drink and has overall lower levels of consumption if he or she has a minority of friends who do not drink. Our findings recognize that adolescent in-group friendships are a mix of behavioral profiles and can perhaps help adolescents continue or begin to abstain alcohol use even when in a friendship group supportive of alcohol use.
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Do school disciplinary policies have positive social impacts? Examining the attenuating effects of school policies on the relationship between personal and peer delinquency.
Journal of Criminal Justice
Empirical research has yet to demonstrate that strict school disciplinary policies deter student misconduct. However, underlying the null and negative effects observed in prior research may be competing social impacts. What is missing from prior research is an acknowledgement that the deviance amplification effects of criminogenic risk factors may be partially offset by the general deterrence effects of strict school sanctions.
Methods
Using data from the school administrator…Empirical research has yet to demonstrate that strict school disciplinary policies deter student misconduct. However, underlying the null and negative effects observed in prior research may be competing social impacts. What is missing from prior research is an acknowledgement that the deviance amplification effects of criminogenic risk factors may be partially offset by the general deterrence effects of strict school sanctions.
Methods
Using data from the school administrator questionnaire, the in-school interview, and the in-home interview from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, this study employs logistic hierarchical models to investigate whether strict school sanctions condition the relationship between personal and peer smoking, drinking, and fighting.
Results
Results indicate that the effects of peer smoking, drinking, and fighting on corresponding respondent delinquency are attenuated in schools with strict sanction policies for these behaviors.
Conclusions
Results suggest that school policies can aid in preventing crime in unanticipated ways, for example, by reducing the crime-inducing effects of having delinquent peers. Prior research may therefore be unintentionally discounting the general deterrence effects of school disciplinary policies by neglecting the moderating mechanisms through which these policies operate.Other authors -
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Incorporating Unstructured Socializing Into the Study of Secondary Exposure to Community Violence Etiological and Empirical Implications
Journal of Interpersonal Violence
Secondary exposure to community violence, defined as witnessing or hearing violence in the community, has the potential to profoundly impact long-term development, health, happiness, and security. While research has explored pathways to community violence exposure at the individual, family, and neighborhood levels, prior work has largely neglected situational factors conducive to secondary violence exposure.
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The Native American adolescent: Social network structure and perceptions of alcohol induced social problems
Journal of Youth and Adolescence
Race/ethnicity and the structure of an adolescent's social network are both
important factors in the etiology of delinquent behavior. Yet, much of the minority-group delinquency literature overlooks the Native American youth population that traditionally exhibits high rates of alcohol use and abuse. Utilizing data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, we compare the structural characteristics of school-based friendship networks of American Indian youth and other…Race/ethnicity and the structure of an adolescent's social network are both
important factors in the etiology of delinquent behavior. Yet, much of the minority-group delinquency literature overlooks the Native American youth population that traditionally exhibits high rates of alcohol use and abuse. Utilizing data from the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, we compare the structural characteristics of school-based friendship networks of American Indian youth and other racial/ethnic groups.Other authors -
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One bad apple may not spoil the whole bunch: Best friends and adolescent delinquency
Journal of Quantitative Criminology
This study compared the association of adolescent delinquency with that of their best friend and remaining social network. Findings are reported from The National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, a multi-wave nationally representative panel study of adolescents who were in grades 7–12 in 1994. Four delinquent outcomes were examined: Smoking, getting drunk, fighting, and a variety index of general delinquency. All analyses were replicated for three distinct criteria for identifying a…
This study compared the association of adolescent delinquency with that of their best friend and remaining social network. Findings are reported from The National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health, a multi-wave nationally representative panel study of adolescents who were in grades 7–12 in 1994. Four delinquent outcomes were examined: Smoking, getting drunk, fighting, and a variety index of general delinquency. All analyses were replicated for three distinct criteria for identifying a “best friend.”
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